One thing that can be said with certainty is that the best polling in the world cannot make definitive election predictions ...

Most news influencers published posts about both candidates in summer and fall, and identical shares were more critical than ...

One of the most obviously wrong predictions about 2024 was also among the most universal 12 months ago: that the coming presidential election was going to be “boring.” Boring? Consider one ...

Since 1981, when Lichtman began to use his approach, his predictions have been incorrect ... In September 2024, election forecaster Nate Silver pointed out that his application of Lichtman ...

Exit polls predictions for recent elections have often been inaccurate, including the 2024 Lok Sabha and Chhattisgarh ...