El Niño years are followed by ENSO-neutral years about 50 per cent of the time, the BoM said. El Niño years are followed by La Niña years about 40 per cent of the time, and in about 10 per cent ...

On April 16, the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) of the Australian government declared that the El Niño weather pattern – a periodic warming of the equatorial Pacific Ocean – had ended.

BoM said the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has remained neutral for the past 6 months, despite changes in sea surface temperature patterns consistent with a developing La Niña.

Part of the BoM’s reasoning may lie in criticism of its 2023 El Nino and positive Indian Ocean Dipole forecast of dry conditions that instead led to widespread rain and floods. Last month BoM ...