U.S. President Donald Trump and his newly appointed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's focus on the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield and not the federal funds rate to bring down borrowing costs is the ...

The most likely one percent range for the 3-month yield in ten years is unchanged from last week: 0% to 1%. The most likely ...

Yields on shorter-term Treasurys were rising on Monday relative to what rates on longer-term maturities were doing — translating into a bear flattening of the yield curve, which is often negative for ...

The yield curve has inverted, and history suggests that a recession could be approaching. In this video, I explain why an inverted yield curve has accurately predicted every recession since the 1980s.

The past couple of months, which include the steepening of the yield curve, have been positive for BDCs. Check out what ...

The Treasury yield curve could flatten in the wake of Trump’s weekend tariff announcements, ING said.

An inversion of the yield curve—a chart plotting returns on debt of various maturities—historically has been a sign that a recession is on the way.

The yield curve has preceded most US recessions since World War II, giving it a reputation as a reliable leading economic indicator. Fisher Investments agrees it is useful, yet many misinterpret ...

That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...

See the chart below from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis that shows how the yield curve dipped below zero prior to a recession. The RTSR, developed by Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm ...

Truist Securities initiates coverage on 24 banking and financial stocks. Factors like loan growth, steeper yield curve, and ample capital for expansion will drive these stocks. Analysts at Truist ...