What Bloomberg strategists say... “The unreliability of the signal from an inverted yield curve also means a disinversion ...

High short-term interest rates could mean that the yield curve remains inverted for some time. If that happens, then the recession debate too, may go on for many more months.

When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of an impending recession. In recent years, another indicator, the Real-Time ...

The yield curve has preceded most US recessions since World War II, giving it a reputation as a reliable leading economic indicator. Fisher Investments agrees it is useful, yet many misinterpret ...

When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

(1.05)^3=(1.02)(1+F2)^2. F2=6.53% Continue this exercise for all maturities and you have the one-year forward yield curve. The yield curve graph is usually yield (y-axis) against maturity (x-axis).

Given the somewhat unpredictable time lag between when an inverted yield curve emerges and when a recession begins, the phrase "near future" may not mean much to some investors. The average time ...

The yield curve has had a 94 percentile move month-over ... “A similar corrective phase now would mean another -12% from Friday’s close.” The mega-cap tech sector is about 24% of the index ...